Tool · Pricing and subscriptions
Scanner subscription break-even calculator
Test whether a betting-software subscription could pay for itself on your own assumptions, with break-even edge, volume and monthly swings.
Reviewed by Owen DavidsUpdated Oct 28, 2026Facts checked Oct 28, 2026
Scanner subscription break-even
That fit your sportsbooks and markets
At the shown price and full stake
Expected value per bet
Only used for the variance estimate
- Expected result after costs
- −$69.00
- $30.00 expected before $99.00 costs
- Break-even edge
- 6.60%
- Edge needed at this volume
- Bets placed
- 60
- $1,500.00 total staked
- Break-even volume
- 198 bets
- $4,950.00 staked at your edge
- Typical monthly swing (1 standard deviation)
- ± $193.61
- Even if every assumption is right, there's roughly a 64% chance of finishing the month behind.
Assumptions and limitations
- Hypothetical only. Edge, opportunity counts and fill rate are your assumptions; WagerBench has not measured them for any product.
- Expected profit = bets placed × stake × edge. Break-even edge = monthly costs ÷ total staked.
- Variance uses a simple bet-by-bet model at one typical price and a normal approximation. Real results vary more when odds, stakes and bet counts vary.
- Account limits, price changes and voided bets reduce real volume and edge over time.
- Raising stakes to cover a subscription increases risk. Don't bet money you can't afford to lose.
How it works
- Bets placed = opportunities per month × the share you can actually place
- Expected profit before costs = bets placed × average stake × assumed edge
- Break-even edge = monthly costs ÷ total staked
- Break-even volume = monthly costs ÷ assumed edge
The "typical monthly swing" is one standard deviation of monthly profit, from a simple model that treats every bet as having the same odds and edge. It's there to show how much luck dominates a single month, even when the assumptions are right.
Using it well
Every input is your assumption, so the answer is only as good as your numbers. The best inputs come from a trial period where you log real opportunities and fill rates. For the reasoning behind the model and worked examples, read How scanner subscription costs change your break-even.
This is a planning aid, not a projection. It doesn't predict profits, and it isn't a reason to increase your stakes.
About this page
- Editorial review
- Approved by Owen Davids on Oct 28, 2026
- AI assistance
- Drafted with AI assistance. Facts, sources and conclusions were checked by a human editor before publication.
- Facts last checked
- Oct 28, 2026
How we research and label evidence: our methodology.
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