Tool · Positive-EV betting
No-vig calculator
Remove the sportsbook margin from a two-outcome market to estimate fair probabilities and fair odds, and check the EV of another price.
Reviewed by Owen DavidsUpdated Oct 28, 2026Facts checked Oct 28, 2026
No-vig calculator
Compare another sportsbook's price for side A against the fair line.
- Fair probability A
- 50.0%
- Fair odds +100
- Fair probability B
- 50.0%
- Fair odds +100
- Overround
- 4.76%
- Implied probabilities over 100%
- Bookmaker hold
- 4.55%
- Theoretical margin on balanced action
Assumptions and limitations
- Method: proportional (multiplicative) normalization. Each implied probability (1 ÷ decimal odds) is divided by their sum, so they total 100%.
- This assumes the margin is spread in proportion to each side's implied probability. Bookmakers don't necessarily price that way, and other methods (such as Shin's) can give different fair prices, especially for lopsided markets.
- A no-vig line is only as good as the market it comes from. Sharper, high-limit markets are usually better estimates than soft or stale ones.
- EV is an expectation over many bets. Any single bet can and often will lose.
The method
- Convert each price to an implied probability: 1 ÷ decimal odds.
- Add them up. The amount over 100% is the overround.
- Divide each implied probability by the total. The results add up to exactly 100%: the no-vig probabilities.
- Fair odds are 1 ÷ each no-vig probability.
Example: -110 on both sides implies 52.38% each, 104.76% in total. Each side's no-vig probability is 50%, and fair odds are 2.00 (+100).
If you enter a price for side A at another sportsbook, the calculator estimates its expected value against the fair line: EV = fair probability × offered decimal odds − 1.
When to trust the result
The output is only as good as the market you enter. De-vigging a sharp, high-limit market gives a much better reference than de-vigging a slow-moving one.
About this page
- Editorial review
- Approved by Owen Davids on Oct 28, 2026
- AI assistance
- Drafted with AI assistance. Facts, sources and conclusions were checked by a human editor before publication.
- Facts last checked
- Oct 28, 2026
How we research and label evidence: our methodology.
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